Well, I’ve had similar experiences with wind forecasts; sometimes they're not even in the ballpark. But you must admit that weather forecasting – at least of the worst storms – has come a long ways since the heyday of sailing vessels in the 1800s. I think the figure is nearly 5,000 shipwrecks on the Great Lakes. Of course, storms weren't the only reason these sailing vessels went down – ship captains determined to meet tight schedules and ignoring weather warning flags, overloaded and poorly maintained ships, lack of radar, few lighthouses, charts of questionable quality and few deep-water ports of refuge.
Regarding engines ... I must be lucky with my 9.9hp Johnson Sailmaster. It has really only quit on me once – though at a very inopportune time in the Canadian wilderness. Well, it actually did quit another time near the end of a long passage – out of gas – definitely human error! Come to think of it, it ran out of gas the first time too, but it wouldn’t restart. 99% of the time it works like a charm though, and sometimes it had better, since I don't always have 'sail backup'.
You say:
Quote:
“I’d rather be drowned for an error of judgment than for negligence...”.
That’s why I’m single-handing 90% of the time, especially when conditions are dicey or the passage is long and unpredictable. I just don’t want the burden of being responsible for the lives of crew under risky conditions.
Only if the crew are seasoned mariners and well informed of the risks. Like when I took my neighbor out in 9 ft. waves and 30 knot winds under the Mackinac Bridge. His father and uncle were mariners – ship captains on the Great Lakes. And he’d spent a fair share of time on boats, including on the Straits. So he was ‘forewarned’. Still ... we probably shouldn't have made that trip
And I'll take my sailing guru Lance out any time he wants - we sail together maybe half a dozen times a season. Two experienced skippers aboard the boat always seems much safer, as long as they can agree who the skipper is at any given moment.
So how do you handle crew?
BTW: At 6-7 knot boat speeds I’m not going to do much damage to other vessels, at least not to the freighters or high-speed island ferries that I seem to encounter much more than pleasure boats, and those pleasure boats are generally big cruisers. So for the most part I'm only putting myself at risk while having my fun. And I take plenty of precautions to control that risk too. I definitely want to return to my family after a daysail or passage
